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Market Update: Year-to-Date Performance Review (March 31 2025)

As we close out the first quarter of 2025, the markets have presented a mix of headwinds and bright spots. Below is a snapshot of how various asset classes performed year to date, based on popular exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Keep in mind that past performance does not guarantee future results, and these returns can fluctuate throughout the year.

US Equity Markets

ETFInvestment TypeYTD Return
QQQLarge Technology Oriented-8.1%
VOOLarge Company Stocks-4.3%
VTVLarge Company Value Stocks2.6%
IWVUS Stock Market as a Whole (98%)-4.7%
FNDXFundamental Weighted US Stocks0.1%
IWMSmall Company Stocks-9.5%

US stocks have seen considerable volatility, particularly in the technology sector (QQQ: -8.1%) and small-cap space (IWM: -9.5%). Some bright spots include value-oriented large-cap holdings (VTV: +2.6%) and fundamentally weighted US stocks (FNDX: +0.1%). Overall, the broader market (IWV) is down at -4.7%. Value stocks and more fundamentally weighted approaches are showing relative resilience this quarter.

International Equities

ETFInvestment TypeYTD Return
SPDWInternational Developed (ex-US) Stocks6.7%
FNDFFundamental Weighted International Stocks8.8%
EEMInternational Emerging Markets4.5%

International equities have fared better than many US-focused ETFs so far in 2025. Both developed (SPDW) and fundamental-weighted (FNDF) ex-US stocks posted healthy gains of 6.7% and 8.8%, respectively. Emerging markets (EEM) also delivered positive returns (+4.5%).

Fixed Income

ETFInvestment TypeYTD Return
BNDTotal Bond Market2.8%
VGITIntermediate Bonds3.1%
SCHOShort Term Bonds1.9%
VTIPInflation Protected Bonds3.1%

Bonds have generally posted moderate, positive returns. Intermediate bonds (VGIT: +3.1%) and inflation-protected bonds (VTIP: +3.1%) have slightly outperformed short-term issues (SCHO: +1.9%), while the broad total bond market index (BND) is up 2.8%.

Real Assets & Commodities

ETFInvestment TypeYTD Return
VNQReal Estate2.7%
DBCCommodities5.2%

Real estate (VNQ) managed a positive return of 2.7%, while commodities (DBC) saw a solid 5.2%. Real assets are not monolithic—while real estate has shown moderate gains, commodities have produced stronger returns as they track multiple factors.

Diversified (Multi-Asset) Funds

ETFInvestment TypeYTD Return
AOA80% Stocks / 20% Bonds-0.1%
AOR60% Stocks / 40% Bonds0.4%
AOM50% Stocks / 50% Bonds1.0%
AOK40% Stocks / 60% Bonds1.3%

These diversified funds show how different mixes of stocks and bonds can impact returns. Funds with a higher equity allocation (AOA) were slightly down (-0.1%), while those with a higher fixed-income component (AOK) ended the quarter up 1.3%.

Key Observations and Themes

– Value-oriented US stocks outperformed tech-heavy and small-cap sectors.

– International equities delivered strong gains, especially in developed and fundamentally weighted markets.

– Bonds provided stability across the spectrum, particularly intermediate and inflation-protected categories.

– Real assets like commodities stood out, delivering strong positive returns.

– Diversified funds illustrate the buffering power of balanced portfolios during equity market drawdowns.

Disclaimer: This information is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Year-to-date performance data is through March 31, 2025, based on the referenced ETFs. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Always consult a qualified financial advisor to discuss your individual investment objectives and risk tolerance before making decisions.

Market Update: Year-to-Date Performance Review (March 31 2025)
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